Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1166.150295 1319.669492 1488.616604 1688.802544 1920.125919 2179.731834 2494.116928
2025-11-16 935.421866 1140.705912 1386.631646 1704.925068 2108.820128 2608.011228 3277.509839
2025-11-23 809.845209 1037.416940 1325.866008 1722.189266 2258.619225 2968.105863 3991.978707
2025-11-30 726.254448 968.039667 1288.871920 1751.914696 2413.305625 3339.692315 4763.550487
2025-12-07 638.271023 878.588709 1209.597950 1707.076722 2450.222813 3542.654974 5314.663352
2025-12-14 567.483438 803.206680 1138.592884 1660.886316 2472.695587 3718.808637 5841.226286
2025-12-21 506.964242 735.301399 1069.600343 1606.901749 2472.277150 3853.600018 6313.743682
2025-12-28 482.737218 717.926180 1072.538473 1661.465559 2645.934838 4283.577101 7342.552674
2026-01-04 454.772509 691.665317 1058.409265 1685.803197 2770.760974 4645.427444 8305.845048
2026-01-11 428.188063 664.794239 1040.136166 1700.167257 2878.392620 4988.523312 9286.613948
2026-01-18 404.010193 639.429039 1021.506122 1711.033069 2979.540230 5330.549677 10318.726647
2026-01-25 387.889829 625.729369 1020.597663 1751.952897 3138.872674 5800.378689 11688.718538
2026-02-01 368.519136 605.603330 1008.031671 1772.629988 3266.740421 6235.070848 13084.639578
2026-02-08 349.684742 584.912675 992.749705 1786.888960 3384.534658 6667.925916 14566.035688
2026-02-15 333.298339 567.033035 980.622721 1805.299843 3511.982387 7137.816750 16225.730536
2026-02-22 320.160809 553.810153 975.616710 1836.647135 3669.441272 7694.940897 18213.452682
2026-03-01 297.871316 522.134449 933.540995 1789.343677 3652.971578 7858.629872 19230.278996
2026-03-08 277.438580 492.414839 892.783468 1740.621738 3627.292765 7996.668625 20206.785789
2026-03-15 257.802694 462.839812 850.051396 1683.691027 3576.488811 8067.565669 21013.699420
2026-03-22 252.700059 460.643218 860.693415 1741.232671 3795.398195 8831.882373 23979.225084
2026-03-29 244.411761 451.622465 856.922109 1766.902985 3942.294164 9437.463516 26620.372277
2026-04-05 235.593768 440.914617 848.832068 1782.054856 4065.495289 10000.648702 29270.475282
2026-04-12 227.000918 430.053499 839.552590 1793.517233 4180.919117 10561.507837 32058.312747